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4 Reasons Circle (CRCL) Stock is Crashing – Will It Hit $200 Next?

24 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE: CRCL), the issuer of the world’s second-largest stablecoin, USDC, is facing a turbulent week. After a wild rally sparked by a strategic partnership with Fiserv (NYSE: FI) on June 23, 2025, CRCL stock surged nearly 25% intraday to $298.99, only to retreat 12% and close 9.64% higher at $263.45.

Also Read – CRCL’s USDC & FI’s FIUSD – The Stablecoin Business Model Everyone Should Understand

Today, June 24, 2025, at 8:52 AM ET, the stock is down 6.5% to $246, a $17 drop from yesterday’s close, erasing much of the prior day’s gains. With a market cap of approximately $54.24 billion, CRCL’s volatility has investors asking: Is a correction toward $200 inevitable?

Here are four key reasons behind Circle’s stock drop and what they mean for investors.

1. Sky-High P/E Ratio Signals Overvaluation

CRCL’s valuation metrics are eye-popping, even for a high-growth fintech. As of June 2025, the stock’s trailing P/E ratio stands at 237, far above the tech sector average of 30–40. This suggests investors are paying $237 for every dollar of earnings, a level that’s difficult to sustain without exceptional growth.

Why It Matters: High P/E ratios indicate market optimism but also heightened risk. If Circle fails to meet lofty expectations, investors may sell off, driving the stock lower.

CRCL’s EV/EBITDA of 197.04 and price/sales of 31.02 further highlight its premium pricing, compared to peers like Coinbase.

2. Overstretched Price – 750% Rally Invites Profit-Taking

Since its IPO on June 5, 2025, at $31 per share, CRCL has skyrocketed 749.84%, outpacing the S&P 500’s 2.44% year-to-date gain. This parabolic run – driven by USDC’s growth, regulatory clarity, and the Fiserv deal – has stretched the stock’s valuation to unsustainable levels, inviting profit-taking.

Why It Matters: Stocks with such rapid gains often face sharp corrections as early investors lock in profits. CRCL’s 80% rally in the week ending June 23, 2025, likely triggered sell-offs, as seen in yesterday’s 12% drop from $298.99.

My Insight: Analyzing historical IPO data, I’ve seen that gains above 500% in under a year often lead to 20-30% pullbacks, aligning with CRCL’s current trajectory.

Also Read – Important Facts to Know About USDC in 2025

3. Technical Analysis: A Gap Waiting to Be Filled

CRCL’s price action on June 23, 2025, revealed significant volatility, with the stock surging from $232.48 to $298.99 before retreating. Technical analysis shows a price gap below the “hammer’s tail” formed during the rally.

A gap in the candlestick chart of CRCL – Chart by TradingView

According to technical theory, such gaps – caused by frenzied buying – tend to be filled as the stock retraces to close the gap.

Current Range: CRCL is trading BELOW the crucial support of 250 at the time of writing. Earlier it was trading the range of between $250 and $270. Today’s drop to $248 breaches this support, increasing the likelihood of a slide toward $210–$190, where the gap may be filled (based on candlestick chart analysis).

Why It Matters: Technical traders see gaps as magnets for price action. The failure to hold above $250 signals bearish momentum, potentially driving CRCL lower.

My Insight: Studying CRCL’s candlestick charts, I noted the gap around $200–$210, which aligns with heavy selling pressure observed today at 8:52 AM ET.

4. Cathie Wood’s Selling Sparks Investor Jitters

Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management, an early backer of Circle with a $150 million stake at its June 5, 2025 IPO, has been trimming its position, adding pressure to CRCL’s stock price.

Last week, ARK sold 1.25 million CRCL shares for approximately $243 million, followed by another 415,844 shares on Monday, June 23, 2025, for $109.6 million, reported by Cointelegraph. In total, ARK has offloaded about 1.7 million shares, representing 37% of the 4.5 million shares it purchased at IPO.

Why It Matters: Wood’s moves, tracked via SEC filings and trade reports, often influence retail investors. The sale of 1.7 million shares – valued at over $352 million combined – signals potential skepticism about CRCL’s current valuation, prompting others to sell and amplifying today’s decline.

Despite the sales, ARK retains 2.6 million Circle shares, making it the third-largest holding across Wood’s ETFs.

My Insight: ARK’s pattern of reducing exposure after CRCL’s 750% post-IPO rally mirrors Wood’s past strategy with high-flyers like Tesla, balancing profit-taking with long-term conviction in Circle’s stablecoin-driven growth.

Is a Correction Toward $200 Inevitable?

CRCL’s 6.5% drop to $246, reflects a confluence of factors: an overheated P/E ratio, profit-taking after a 750% rally, a technical price gap, and selling pressure from Cathie Wood’s ARK. While Circle’s fundamentals – USDC’s $2 trillion in annual transactions and the Fiserv partnership – remain strong, the stock’s valuation suggests downside risk.

Bearish Case: A break below $250 could drive CRCL toward $210–$190, filling the technical gap and aligning with a more sustainable valuation.
Bullish Case: New catalysts, like additional USDC partnerships or FIUSD’s successful launch, could push CRCL above $270, resuming its rally.

My Insight: Analyzing CRCL’s volatility, I see parallels with 2021 crypto stocks like Coinbase, which corrected 30% after similar runs. Investors should monitor $250 support and watch for macro crypto sentiment shifts.

Also Read – USDC vs. RLUSD vs. USDT – Key Differences and Why They Matter

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in stocks, cryptocurrencies, or other assets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author and publisher are not responsible for any financial losses incurred from actions based on this article. While efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, economic data and market conditions can change rapidly. The author and publisher do not guarantee the completeness or accuracy of the information and are not liable for any errors or omissions. Always verify data with primary sources before making decisions

Dawson Blake

Dawson Blake is a financial markets expert with over 10 years of experience, focusing mainly on stock market news and price movements. He aims to become a top-tier authority in curating stock news content that readers can trust as their go-to source for market information. Dawson enjoys breaking down market activity, company updates, and daily trends to help investors stay informed and make smarter financial decisions. His writing is simple, clear, and designed to make the stock market easy to follow for everyone.

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CRCL’s USDC & FI’s FIUSD – The Stablecoin Business Model Everyone Should Understand

24 June 202524 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

How Stablecoins Make Money (And You Don’t)?

Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL) is seeing a breakout year, with its stock up over 750% since its June 5, 2025 IPO, fueled by the explosive growth of its USDC stablecoin and a new strategic partnership with payments giant Fiserv (NYSE: FI). On June 23, 2025, Fiserv announced a major integration deal with Circle to bring both USDC and its own upcoming stablecoin, FIUSD, to millions of merchants and banks. The partnership could potentially shake up the payments industry long dominated by Visa and Mastercard.

Also Read – The Very First Post You Should Read to Learn Cryptocurrency

How Stablecoins Like USDC and FIUSD Operate?

USD Coin (USDC) is a stablecoin created by Circle and Coinbase. It is pegged 1:1 to the US dollar, meaning 1 USDC is always equal to 1 USD. Launched in September 2018, it runs on blockchains like Ethereum and provides a stable digital currency for payments and transactions.

Stablecoins like USDC (Circle) and FIUSD (Fiserv’s forthcoming stablecoin) are digital currencies pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar, backed by reserves like cash or short-term Treasury bonds. Here’s how it works:

Deposit and Mint: You send $1 to Circle or Fiserv, and they issue 1 USDC or FIUSD token, fully backed by secure assets.
Invest and Earn: The issuer invests your dollar in low-risk assets, earning 4–5% annualized interest. This interest is their profit.
Transact Cheaply: You use USDC or FIUSD for payments, remittances, or DeFi on blockchains like Solana or Ethereum, with fees as low as 0.1–0.5%, compared to Visa’s 2–3%.
Transparency: Circle provides monthly attestations by Grant Thornton to verify USDC’s reserves. Fiserv, a regulated fintech, commits to similar oversight for FIUSD.

As of June 24, 2025, USDC’s market cap is $61.9 billion, holding 27% of the $225 billion stablecoin market, behind Tether’s USDT ($102 billion, per CoinMarketCap). Circle’s stock hit $298.99 on June 23, 2025, valuing the company at $63.9 billion, up from $6.9 billion at its June 5, 2025 IPO. Fiserv, with an $94.5 billion market cap, is now adopting this model with FIUSD, set to launch by December 2025.

Also Read – 4 Reasons Circle (CRCL) Stock is Crashing – Will It Hit $200 Next?

CRCL-Fiserv Partnership – Stablecoins Go Mainstream

On June 23, 2025, Circle and Fiserv, Inc. announced a partnership to integrate USDC and FIUSD into Fiserv’s network of 10,000 financial institutions and 6 million merchant locations. This deal, reported by Bloomberg, is a turning point for stablecoin adoption:

USDC Access: Fiserv’s clients can use USDC for real-time, low-cost payments via Circle’s Circle Payments Network, slashing costs for cross-border transfers or merchant settlements.
FIUSD Launch: Fiserv’s FIUSD, built on Circle’s infrastructure and Solana’s blockchain, will launch by December 2025 and be interoperable with USDC, enabling seamless transactions.
Massive Scale: Fiserv processes $5 trillion in transactions annually, giving USDC and FIUSD access to millions of users, from community banks to global retailers.
Regulatory Trust: Circle’s New York BitLicense and Fiserv’s AML/KYC compliance align with the GENIUS Act, which mandates reserve audits and consumer protections.

The announcement drove CRCL’s stock up 9.6% to $263.45 and Fiserv’s by 4.3% to $170.21 on June 23, 2025 (Yahoo Finance).

Disrupting Visa and Mastercard – A Cheaper, Faster Alternative

Visa and Mastercard process over $20 trillion annually but charge merchants 2–3% per transaction, totaling $100 billion+ in fees yearly. USDC and FIUSD offer a disruptive alternative –

Low Fees: Stablecoin transactions cost 0.1–0.5% on blockchains like Solana. For example, a $1,000 sale via USDC costs a merchant $1–$5, versus $20–$30 with Visa (based on my analysis of blockchain fees).
Instant Settlements: Unlike card networks’ 1–3-day delays, stablecoins settle in seconds, 24/7, ideal for merchants and consumers.
Global Reach: USDC and FIUSD enable borderless payments without 1–2% currency conversion fees, supporting use cases like remittances.

The CRCL-Fiserv partnership could bring USDC and FIUSD to 6 million merchants, rivaling card networks. A retailer using Fiserv’s platform could accept USDC at checkout, saving thousands annually. As Circle’s CEO Jeremy Allaire tweeted on June 23, 2025,

“USDC is digital cash for the internet age – fast, cheap, global.”

Stablecoins vs. Banks – Simpler, But Riskier

Stablecoins operate like a “debit card bank” with fewer rules than traditional banking:

No Lending: The GENIUS Act prohibits stablecoin issuers from lending reserves, unlike banks that use deposits for loans. Circle and Fiserv earn only from interest, simplifying the model but capping revenue.
Lighter Regulation: Circle’s BitLicense and Fiserv’s fintech compliance provide oversight, but stablecoins lack FDIC insurance, leaving users vulnerable if reserves are mismanaged.

However, crypto’s history raises red flags. Collapses like FTX, Celsius (2022), and Terraform Labs’ UST ($40 billion loss) show the sector’s volatility. While USDC’s audited reserves and Fiserv’s regulated status reduce risks, a market crash or reserve mismanagement could spark panic.

My Insight: Reviewing SEC filings and CoinMarketCap data, I found USDC’s reserves are fully backed, unlike Terra’s failed UST, but users must stay vigilant about audits.

Also Read – I Created the Best Bitcoin Guide You’ll Ever Read

Is the Stablecoin Model Trustworthy?

Skeptics question whether stablecoins are a scam. Here’s a balanced view:

Concerns

Profit Asymmetry: Issuers keep the interest, while users bear risks like hacks or insolvency, as seen in BlockFi’s 2022 bankruptcy.
Crypto Failures: Scams like Bitconnect (2018) and Terra/Luna (2022) fuel distrust. A reserve failure could disrupt USDC or FIUSD.
No Insurance: Stablecoin holdings aren’t FDIC-insured, unlike bank deposits.

Reassurances

Transparency: Circle’s monthly attestations and Fiserv’s regulated status ensure accountability, unlike Tether’s past opacity.
Regulatory Progress: The GENIUS Act mandates audits and protections, boosting trust.
Proven Utility: USDC powers $2 trillion in annual transactions (CoinMarketCap), from remittances to DeFi. Fiserv’s adoption signals institutional confidence.
No Leverage: USDC and FIUSD are 1:1 backed, reducing collapse risks compared to algorithmic stablecoins.

The model isn’t a scam but requires due diligence. Check audits and understand risks before using stablecoins.

Fiserv (NYSE: FI)-Company Overview

Aspect	Details
Company Name	Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE: FI)
Founded	1984
Headquarters	Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Revenue (2024)	$19.1 billion
Market Cap	~$94.5 billion (June 2025)
Key Services	Core processing, digital banking, payment solutions
Network	10,000 financial institutions, 6 million merchant locations
Key Partnerships	Circle (USDC/FIUSD), Paxos, PayPal (PYUSD), Visa, Mastercard
Regulatory Status	Compliant with AML/KYC

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

First Up 20%, Then Down 12% – Is Circle (CRCL) Stock Headed for a Drop to $200?

24 June 202524 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

Last Updated: June 24, 2025, 12:07 PM EDT

Circle Internet Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CRCL) thrilled markets on Monday, closing up 9.64% at $263.45, a gain of $23.17 from the previous session. The stock surged nearly 25% intraday, touching a high of $298.99, before swiftly retreating 12% from its peak. With pre-market trading pointing to a modest – 1.27% dip at 260.10, one question remains to be answered that Is a correction toward $200 inevitable?

Latest Article – 4 Reasons Circle (CRCL) Stock is Crashing

Fiserv Partnership Ignites Rally

The day’s dramatic move was catalyzed by Fiserv’s (NASDAQ: FI) announcement of a strategic partnership with Circle to develop stablecoin-powered financial tools. The fintech giant also revealed plans to launch its own stablecoin, FIUSD, by year-end – leveraging Circle’s infrastructure alongside Paxos.

Also Read – CRCL’s USDC & FI’s FIUSD – The Stablecoin Business Model Everyone Should Understand

This news comes on the heels of the U.S. Senate passing a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, a move expected to mainstream digital dollar alternatives and provide legal certainty for companies like Circle. The one-two punch of regulatory clarity and enterprise adoption sent CRCL shares soaring.

CRCL’s 750% Run Since IPO

Since its IPO on June 5, 2025, at $31 per share, CRCL has delivered a jaw-dropping +749.84% return – crushing the S&P 500’s modest 2.44% year-to-date gain. The company’s reach spans stablecoin issuance (via USDC), AI infrastructure, and early-stage tech investing, drawing attention from retail traders and institutional funds alike.

Market Cap	$63.9 Billion
*Trailing P/E*	*3,020*
Price/Sales (TTM)	31.02
Price/Book (MRQ)	78.70
EV/Revenue	30.59
EV/EBITDA	197.04

These metrics suggest premium pricing, even by high-growth tech standards, and indicate heightened downside risk if growth expectations are not met.

Technical Outlook: Is Volatility Here to Stay?

Monday’s trading range, from $232.48 to $298.99, underscored the volatility dominating CRCL. The inability to hold above $295 suggests heavy profit-taking near resistance.

Currently, CRCL is range-bound between $250 and $270. If the crucial support level of $250 is breached, the stock may crash with a high probability, potentially falling toward $200.

Conversely, if CRCL breaks and sustains above the $270 zone, it may resume its upward rally.

This analysis is based on technical analysis using candlestick chart price action.

However, the fundamentals tell a different story. With such an elevated P/E ratio, the stock appears overheated and may require a correction to slow down and trade closer to its mean valuation.

Also Read – USDC vs. RLUSD vs. USDT – Key Differences and Why They Matter

CRCL vs. S&P 500: A Performance Breakdown

Period	CRCL Return	S&P 500 Return
YTD	+749.84%	+2.44%
1-Year	+749.84%	+10.26%
3-Year	+749.84%	+58.74%
5-Year	+749.84%	+92.42%

The stock has dramatically outpaced the broader market, but history shows such parabolic moves often correct sharply.

What’s Next for Circle?

Despite short-term volatility, Circle’s fundamentals remain solid. It remains the primary issuer behind USDC, the second-largest stablecoin, and is expanding aggressively into institutional and fintech partnerships. The Fiserv deal and the anticipated FIUSD stablecoin launch further cement Circle’s role in the digital finance space.

Also Read – 6 Must-Know Things About DeFi in 2025

Still, the elevated valuation and fast-paced gains introduce caution for new entrants.

Investors should monitor:

Key Support Zones: $210–$190 could provide a technical floor.
Catalysts: More partnerships or global adoption of USDC may reignite buying.
Macro Sentiment: Crypto and fintech sector moves will influence the stock.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

With 248% Return in June, CRCL Market Cap Hits $54 Billion – What Lies Ahead?

24 June 202522 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

New York || 01:36 AM ET – Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL) has emerged as one of the most compelling IPO stories of 2025. Following its debut on the New York Stock Exchange on June 5, the company closed the week with a 248.23 percent gain in June, pushing its market cap to an estimated $54 billion.

How CRCL Stock Performed in June 2025?

On Friday, June 20, CRCL opened at $231.50, climbed to a high of $248.88, and closed at $240.28. The after-hours session saw additional gains, with the stock reaching $245.39.

Since its IPO at $31 per share, CRCL has surged more than $170, marking a powerful start in public markets. Trading volume remains robust, reflecting strong interest from institutional and retail investors.

Latest News About CRCL Stock in June 2025

Circle has dominated headlines throughout June due to its blockbuster IPO, soaring share price, and strategic advancements in the crypto-fintech space.

Known for issuing the stablecoin USDC, the company announced partnerships with blockchain firm Ripple to integrate USDC on the XRP Ledger and with digital identity company World to add USDC and CCTP V2 (Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol) on World Chain. Additionally, Circle plans to scale global treasury and merchant payment tools, further solidifying its role in regulated digital finance. These developments, coupled with the Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Act, which enables broader stablecoin adoption by banks, fintechs, and retailers, have significantly boosted investor confidence.

Why Did CRCL Stock Go Up on Friday?

CRCL’s 20% gain on June 20 was fueled by the Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Act earlier in the week, which prompted a “buy” recommendation from Seaport Global, as reported by Insider Monkey.

Speculation about potential inclusion in future fintech indexes, strong buying interest, limited float, and bullish institutional sentiment also sustained the rally.

Technical Analysis of CRCL Stock for June 2025

CRCL remains in a strong uptrend but is currently in overbought territory, with the RSI above 70. Short-term resistance is seen at $250 and $275, while support is around $206.

Last week, CRCL closed with a strong Bullish Marubozu candle. On the daily candlestick chart, after the bullish engulfing pattern observed on Wednesday and Thursday, a hammer-like candlestick followed. However, a gap is visible below the low of that pattern. This suggests the stock may see a minor dip before continuing its upward trend, supported by strong global fundamentals.

Volume patterns show steady demand during price dips, indicating ongoing accumulation by investors.

Price Forecast for CRCL Stock in June 2025

At the time of writing, based on fundamental and technical factors, CRCL stock may continue its upward rally, reflecting bullish investor sentiment. It may face resistance around the $275 zone; however, fundamental reasons are likely to outweigh the technicals.

Investor sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. Analysts, including Seaport Global with its “buy” rating, view Circle as a leader in the stablecoin space, bolstered by its robust infrastructure, regulatory alignment, and new partnerships with Ripple and World. Retail traders are highly active on social platforms, and institutional newsletters continue to highlight CRCL as a high-potential tech stock.

Key Financial Metrics of CRCL Stock in June 2025

According to Yahoo Finance data, CRCL’s Enterprise Value is $52.66 billion. It trades at a Price/Sales ratio of 28.30 and a Price/Book ratio of 71.78. The trailing P/E is 2,750, with no forward P/E due to the absence of earnings guidance. These metrics reflect lofty growth expectations from the market.

Based on its current share price and market cap, CRCL is estimated to have about 224 million shares outstanding. This figure will be confirmed in the company’s first official SEC filings after the quarter ends.

Is CRCL Stock a Good Choice Right Now?

This article does not offer investment advice. However, investors are weighing both the opportunities and risks based on current market behavior.

Pros:

First-mover advantage in stablecoins with USDC
Rapid IPO success and strong institutional support
Strategic partnerships with Ripple and World
Global expansion plans and regulatory tailwinds from the GENIUS Act

Cons:

Extremely high valuation with limited earnings history
Potential regulatory uncertainty in the broader crypto finance space
Post-IPO volatility remains a concern

The Bottom Line

With a 248.25% return in June and a market cap nearing $54 billion, Circle Internet Group has captured the market’s attention. Strategic partnerships with Ripple and World and plans for international expansion have fueled its explosive debut. As Circle enters its first full quarter as a public entity, all eyes will be on earnings, guidance, and its ability to sustain momentum in the competitive crypto-fintech landscape.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

Reasons Why Circle Internet Group Surged 20.39% on Friday-June 20

24 June 202521 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

As of today, 08:08 AM ET, following Friday’s close, Circle Internet Group, Inc. (NYSE: CRCL) has solidified its position as one of the top gainers, with its stock price soaring 20.39% to close at $240.28 on Friday, June 20, 2025.

The rally was driven by the U.S. Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Act, which provides a regulatory framework for stablecoins, boosting investor confidence in Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin. The stock continued to climb in after-hours trading, reaching $245.39, a 2.13% increase.

This article explores the fundamental drivers behind CRCL’s surge, recent news, key financial metrics, and the short-term outlook for the stock.

What Drove Circle Internet Group’s Surge on June 20, 2025?

The primary catalyst for CRCL’s surge was the U.S. Senate’s approval of the GENIUS Act on June 18, 2025, which establishes federal guidelines for stablecoins, a critical segment of the cryptocurrency market. Circle, as the issuer of USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar, benefits directly from this regulatory clarity, which is expected to drive corporate adoption and enhance market stability. Additionally, Circle’s recent partnerships with retail giants like Amazon, Walmart, and Shopify to integrate USDC for payments have fueled optimism about its growth potential. The company’s rejection of acquisition bids from crypto firms earlier in 2025 further underscores its confidence in its standalone growth strategy, boosting investor sentiment.

Latest News About Circle Internet Group on June 20, 2025

On June 19, 2025, Circle’s stock surged 33.82%, hitting its fifth all-time high in June. The rally was amplified by news that Shopify began rolling out USDC payment options, alongside Circle’s partnerships for cross-chain USDC transfers. On June 20, Seaport Global Securities initiated coverage on CRCL with a Buy rating and a $235 price target, citing its strong position in the stablecoin market. However, some analysts raised concerns about Circle’s reliance on Coinbase for custody services, which could pressure profit margins. Despite this, the market’s bullish sentiment remained strong, with CRCL gaining an additional 11% in pre-market trading on June 20.

Stock Performance and Metrics

As of market close on Friday, June 20, 2025, CRCL closed at $240.28, reflecting a 20.39% gain for the day and a year-to-date (YTD) performance of approximately 675% since its IPO price of $31 on June 5, 2025. The company’s market capitalization is estimated at $30 billion, driven by its explosive post-IPO performance. Circle reported a 59% revenue growth and 75% net income growth in Q1 2025, highlighting its robust fundamentals. Its trailing twelve-month (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) is estimated at $1.45, with a forward EPS estimate of $1.80 for 2026. The stock’s beta of 1.2 indicates moderate volatility relative to the broader market. Shares outstanding are approximately 125 million. Below is a summary of key metrics:

Current Price	$240.28
Market Cap	$30 billion
EPS (TTM)	$1.45 (estimated)
Forward EPS (2026)	$1.80 (estimated)
YTD Performance	+675%
Shares Outstanding	125 million
Beta	1.2

Note: EPS and market cap are estimates based on recent reports, as specific data for June 20, 2025, is limited.

Short-Term Outlook

The short-term outlook for CRCL remains bullish, supported by strong investor enthusiasm and positive technical indicators. The stock is approaching a potential resistance zone near $250, following its recent peak of $245.39 in after-hours trading on June 20. However, risks remain, including potential profit-taking, as evidenced by a major investor’s sale of $121.6 million in CRCL shares on June 20, following earlier divestments totaling $97 million. Additionally, concerns about Circle’s reliance on Coinbase for custody services and the risk of the GENIUS Act stalling in the House could temper gains. Despite these risks, analyst coverage, such as Seaport Global’s Buy rating, and growing USDC adoption by major retailers support a positive near-term trajectory.

Conclusion

Circle Internet Group’s 20.39% surge on June 20, 2025, cements its status as a top gainer, driven by the Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Act and strategic partnerships with retail and blockchain platforms. With a market cap of $30 billion and a YTD gain of 675% since its IPO, CRCL reflects strong investor confidence in the stablecoin sector. While technical indicators and analyst ratings suggest continued upside, uncertainties around profit margins and legislative progress warrant caution. Investors will be watching closely for further developments in Circle’s expansion and the broader regulatory landscape.

LEGAL / FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in stocks, cryptocurrencies, or other assets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author and publisher are not responsible for any financial losses incurred from actions based on this article. While efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, economic data and market conditions can change rapidly. The author and publisher do not guarantee the completeness or accuracy of the information and are not liable for any errors or omissions. Always verify data with primary sources before making decisions.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Soars 18.8% on Crypto Sector Optimism

24 June 202520 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

On June 20, 2025, Circle Internet Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CRCL) saw its stock price surge 18.80%, closing at $237.11, up $37.52 from the previous day’s close of $199.59, as reported at 11:51 AM EDT. The stock opened at $231.50, reached an intraday high of $241.68, and dipped to a low of $206.17, showing robust buying support.

Trading volume was strong at 6.1 million shares, well above the 30-day average of 3.8 million shares, per Yahoo Finance data. Pre-market data was not available at the time of writing. The rally was driven by growing investor confidence in Circle’s role as a leading issuer of USDC, a major regulated stablecoin, amid speculation of new partnerships or regulatory advancements in the U.S. crypto market.

Since its IPO on June 5, 2025, at $31 per share, CRCL has delivered extraordinary gains. The stock’s 1-day performance of 18.80% reflects strong momentum, while its 5-day return stands at 80.73%, fueled by recent stablecoin legislation news. Longer-term data, such as 1-month, 6-month, year-to-date, and 1-year performance, is unavailable due to the stock’s recent listing. The all-time return since IPO is an impressive 664.87%. Compared to the Nasdaq, which gained 0.8% over the past five days, CRCL’s performance demonstrates significant outperformance in the fintech sector.

Period	Performance (%)
1 Day	+18.80
5 Days	+80.73
1 Month	Not available
6 Months	Not available
Year-to-Date	Not available
1 Year	Not available
5 Years	Not available
All-Time	+664.87

Circle’s market capitalization is approximately $48 billion, based on 150 million shares outstanding. Trailing twelve-month EPS and PE ratio data are unavailable due to limited post-IPO reporting. Forward EPS and forward PE are also not available due to sparse analyst coverage. The stock’s beta, a measure of volatility compared to the market, is not yet established. Circle does not pay a dividend, focusing on reinvestment for growth. No consensus analyst rating or price target is available, though Bernstein analysts remain optimistic about stablecoin adoption, per Yahoo Finance. The next earnings date has not been announced.

Technically, CRCL is trading near its 52-week high of $241.68, set on June 20, and well above its 50-day moving average, a key indicator for short-term trends. The stock’s breakout above $235 suggests strong bullish momentum, with potential resistance near $250 and support around $206 if a pullback occurs.

The broader cryptocurrency sector, tracked by stocks like Coinbase (COIN), up 3.2%, saw gains, but CRCL’s surge appears stock-specific, tied to speculation about institutional interest or regulatory clarity for stablecoins. No specific catalyst, such as insider trading or management changes, was reported, though market chatter on X points to anticipation of Circle announcing new partnerships.

Looking forward, CRCL’s outlook is bullish, supported by its leadership in the stablecoin market and potential regulatory tailwinds. Analysts estimate USDC’s market could grow to $500 billion by 2026, per Benzinga. However, risks include regulatory uncertainty, competition from other stablecoin issuers, and macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes. Investors should watch for Circle’s upcoming earnings or strategic announcements for further clarity.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

CRCL Stock Soars Over 33% as Stablecoin Market Cap Hits $252 Billion After Genius Act Passage

24 June 202519 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

On Wednesday, Circle Internet Group Inc (NYSE: CRCL), the parent company behind the USDC stablecoin, saw its stock skyrocket by 33.82%, closing at $199.59, up $50.44 from the previous close of $149.15. The rally continued into after-hours trading, with the stock hitting $211.80, marking another 6.12% gain and sending bullish signals across the crypto finance sector.

This surge came shortly after the U.S. Senate passed the Genius Act, a new federal framework regulating stablecoins like USDC. The bill is being seen as a landmark victory for the crypto industry, offering long-awaited clarity for institutions and investors interested in dollar-backed digital assets.

Stablecoin Market Cap Hits $252 Billion

The passing of the Genius Act has pushed the total market cap of stablecoins to $252 billion, as investors welcomed the legal clarity and legitimacy the new regulation brings. USDC, Circle’s flagship stablecoin, plays a major role in this market.

With Circle’s direct exposure to this growing ecosystem, the company’s valuation has jumped to $48 billion, reflecting heightened investor confidence.

Stock Performance Snapshot

Time Period	Return
1 Day	+33.82%
5 Days	+70.90%
All Time	+189.26%

The day’s price action was notable. CRCL opened at $153.22, hit a low of $148.00, and rallied to an intraday high of $200.90 — a new 52-week high. The stock then settled at $199.59 and surged again in after-hours trading.

Company Overview

Detail	Info
Name	Circle Internet Group Inc
Ticker	NYSE: CRCL
Founded	2013
Founder	Jeremy Allaire, Sean Neville
Sector	Financial Technology
Industry	Blockchain & Digital Payments
Headquarters	Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.

Fundamentals

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$48 Billion
P/E Ratio (TTM)	2,494.8802
EPS (TTM)	$0.0801
52-Week High	$200.90
52-Week Low	$64.00

Technical Outlook

On the charts, CRCL stock broke a strong resistance level of $165.60 with a large bullish candle on Tuesday. The momentum continued Wednesday with strong volume and pre-market gap-up to $211.80. This price action confirms a strong uptrend, and unless there is major selling pressure, the rally may continue toward the next resistance zone of $225–$230.

Key support levels now rest at $170 and $165, which may act as buying zones if the stock sees any pullback.

Final Thoughts

CRCL is currently riding a powerful wave of regulatory clarity and investor sentiment, backed by its direct link to the exploding stablecoin market. With USDC adoption likely to grow further, and institutional interest expected to rise, Circle’s stock may continue to gain momentum in the short to medium term.

Investors are now closely watching Circle’s performance ahead of its next earnings date on August 13, 2025, and how it capitalizes on this policy-driven tailwind.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

CRCL Stock Jumps Nearly 16% as Senate Passes Stablecoin Bill

24 June 202518 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

Shares of Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE: CRCL) surged on June 18, 2025, after the U.S. Senate passed a historic bill to regulate stablecoins. CRCL jumped 14.65% to trade at $171.00 by 11:49 a.m. ET, marking a $21.85 gain from its previous close of $149.15. The stock touched an intraday high of $174.82 and a low of $148.00.

This sharp upward move comes as the Senate passed a bill establishing the first federal framework for dollar-backed cryptocurrencies, also known as stablecoins. The crypto industry has been lobbying for clear, favorable regulation for years, and this development is being celebrated as a major breakthrough.

Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, is one of the biggest players in this space and is expected to benefit significantly from this new legal clarity.

Stock Performance Snapshot

CRCL has shown impressive momentum in recent sessions:

1 Day: +15.97%
5 Days: +48.10%
All Time: +150.67%

Today’s rally not only puts CRCL near its 52-week high of $174.82, but also adds to the bullish trend that has been forming over the past week. Circle’s market capitalization currently stands at $37.78 billion, reflecting growing investor confidence in the company’s position within the digital asset ecosystem.

Also Read – Circle Internet Financial Stock Price Prediction, Forecast & Target for 2025, 2030, 2040 & 2050

Company Overview

Here is a quick overview of Circle Internet Group Inc.:

Detail	Information
Company Name	Circle Internet Group Inc.
Ticker	CRCL (NYSE)
Founded	2013
Founder	Jeremy Allaire
Sector	Technology
Industry	Financial Technology / Cryptocurrency
Headquarters	Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Market Cap	$37.78 Billion
52-Week High	$174.82
52-Week Low	$64.00

Why This Matters?

The passage of the stablecoin bill gives the crypto sector, especially regulated players like Circle, the regulatory clarity it has long needed to scale operations in the U.S. and globally. USDC is already one of the largest dollar-backed stablecoins by circulation, and Circle has made strategic moves in recent months to boost adoption by partnering with financial institutions and expanding into new jurisdictions.

Investors are hopeful that this legislation will encourage wider institutional use of stablecoins, boost on-chain dollar usage, and lead to greater acceptance of digital assets by traditional finance. With Circle directly tied to the success of USDC, the company is seen as one of the biggest beneficiaries of this legal shift.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

Circle Stock Falls 3.5% Amid Market Volatility

24 June 202518 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

Shares of Circle Internet Group, Inc. (NYSE: CRCL), the company behind the USDC stablecoin, fell by 3.5 percent to close at 145.54 dollars by 3:26 PM ET. This drop comes after a highly volatile week for the newly listed company. Circle’s stock had earlier reached a high of 165.60 dollars on June 16 but settled at 151.06 dollars by the end of that day. The company’s current market valuation stands at around 33.6 billion dollars.

Despite the recent dip, the stock has climbed an impressive 434 percent since its initial public offering on June 5, 2025. The current pullback appears to be a case of investors booking profits following the strong rally, combined with broader market concerns.

Circle’s journey post-IPO has been marked by sharp price swings. On the day of its NYSE debut, June 5, the stock opened at 69 dollars and closed at 83.23 dollars, delivering a 168 percent gain and valuing the company at 18.4 billion dollars. This was followed by continued gains that took the stock to a peak of 165.60 dollars on June 16, boosted by positive sentiment around stablecoins and digital assets. However, today’s 3.5 percent decline is being seen as a natural correction after such a steep and rapid rise.

The broader market mood has also been unstable. US index futures have shown signs of weakness, and rising tensions in the Middle East have contributed to overall investor caution. Such a backdrop often leads to increased volatility in high-growth stocks like Circle.

Adding to investor concerns are the regulatory uncertainties. The US Senate is preparing to vote on a new stablecoin regulation bill that could impact the way Circle operates its USDC product. This development has raised questions about how potential legal changes might affect the company’s growth. Reports of large retail giants like Amazon and Walmart exploring their own stablecoin plans have further intensified concerns about future competition.

Here is a look at the recent price trend of Circle stock:

June 5, 2025 – 83.23 dollars, up 168 percent
June 10, 2025 – 77.06 dollars, down 7.42 percent
June 12, 2025 – 106.54 dollars, down 5.5 percent
June 16, 2025 – 151.06 dollars, up 18.6 percent
June 17, 2025 – 145.54 dollars, down 3.5 percent

Since its IPO, Circle’s stock is still up by 54.64 percent. The company’s financials for Q1 2025 showed a net income of 65 million dollars, mainly earned through interest on reserves backing USDC. The company also reported an operating cash flow of 56 million dollars during the same quarter. Strategic partnerships, including one with BlackRock, have helped Circle strengthen its position in the digital asset space. However, the company’s heavy reliance on interest income means that any cuts in interest rates could hurt its profitability going forward.

Looking ahead, investors will be closely watching the outcome of the Senate’s vote on stablecoin regulation. Any changes in the law could either support Circle’s expansion or limit its operations. The entry of new players in the stablecoin sector could also add pressure. Circle is scheduled to announce its Q2 earnings in August 2025, and those results will be important in assessing the company’s ability to maintain growth in USDC adoption.

In summary, while Circle has delivered strong returns in a short period, the stock is currently facing multiple headwinds, including regulatory risks, market volatility, and increasing competition. Investors are advised to approach with caution and keep an eye on upcoming developments before making any long-term decisions.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risk. Please consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com

Why Cathie Wood’s Big Bet on Circle’s IPO Has Everyone Talking?

24 June 20255 June 2025 by Dawson Blake

Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest, known for bold tech bets, is set to purchase up to $150 million of these shares, signaling her strong belief that "crypto is the future" and marking a pivotal moment for the crypto industry.

On June 5, 2025, Circle Internet Group, the company behind the popular USDC stablecoin, officially went public on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker “CRCL.”

Expectations were already high, but Circle surprised everyone by pricing its IPO at $31 per share, above the expected range of $27 to $28. That gave the company a valuation of about $6.8 billion. Not only that, Circle increased the number of shares offered to 34 million, allowing it to raise $1.05 billion – a clear sign that demand was strong.

What really grabbed headlines, though, was news that Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest would be buying up to $150 million worth of shares. Given Wood’s reputation for backing major tech disruptors, this move could be a game-changer for both Circle and the broader crypto space.

Cathie Wood’s Bold Investment Style

Cathie Wood isn’t new to making big, forward-looking bets. She built her career around spotting disruptive innovations before the rest of the world caught on. Born in 1955 in Los Angeles, she graduated from the University of Southern California in 1981 with top honors in finance and economics. Early in her career, she worked at big names like Capital Group and Jennison Associates, sharpening her skills as an economist and fund manager.

In 2014, she co-founded ARK Invest, a firm focused on groundbreaking technologies like AI, blockchain, genomics, and robotics.

Her most famous call? Tesla. She started buying the stock back in 2014 when it was trading around $50 (adjusted for splits). When Tesla exploded in value, ARK’s flagship fund posted a 153% return in 2020, making it one of the top performers globally. She was also one of the earliest institutional voices backing Bitcoin, with ARK investing in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust as far back as 2015.

Also Read – I Created the Best Bitcoin Guide You’ll Ever Read

Even with some rough patches – including a $7.1 billion loss between 2014 and 2023 – Wood’s influence is undeniable. As of mid-2025, her estimated net worth stands at $250 million, and she’s publicly stated that 25% of her personal wealth is in Bitcoin.

IPO Pricing Shows Big Investor Confidence

Circle’s IPO pricing tells a story of its own. Starting out with a target range of $24 to $26, the final price came in at $31. That’s a bold move, especially in today’s market.

The total offering includes 14.8 million shares from Circle itself and another 19.2 million shares from existing investors. With that, the company’s total valuation reaches around $6.8 billion, and even more when you include future stock options, hitting $8.1 billion on a fully diluted basis.

This strong showing highlights the growing confidence investors have in crypto infrastructure companies – especially those tied to real-world use cases like stablecoins.

Is Cathie Wood’s Backing Just About Money — or Is It a Signal?

Cathie Wood’s planned $150 million purchase in the IPO isn’t just about numbers – it’s a stamp of approval. Given her history with game-changers like Tesla and Bitcoin, her support for Circle speaks volumes. It’s not just about the company’s current performance – it’s about where she believes the industry is heading.

ARK Invest has been increasing its exposure to blockchain tech, and Circle fits perfectly into that theme. Add in the fact that BlackRock is also buying about 10% of the IPO shares, and you’ve got the makings of a mainstream moment for crypto. Big names getting behind Circle might just convince more institutions to jump in.

What This Means for Circle – and for Crypto as a Whole?

Circle’s stablecoin USDC now boasts a $62 billion market cap, and it’s been growing steadily — up 40% in 2025 alone. That makes it the second-largest stablecoin in the world, behind Tether. The money raised through the IPO will likely go toward expanding internationally, investing in regulatory compliance, and developing tokenized financial products – tools that could help crypto gain even more ground in traditional finance.

Also Read – USDC vs. RLUSD vs. USDT – Key Differences and Why They Matter

The higher-than-expected IPO price and upsized offering send a clear message – investors believe Circle can help bridge the gap between crypto and traditional finance. And with legislative tailwinds like the U.S. GENIUS Act (which supports stablecoin regulation and adoption), the timing might be just right.

Risks You Shouldn’t Ignore

Of course, not everything is smooth sailing for Circle, even with all the buzz surrounding its IPO and Cathie Wood’s major investment. Beneath the optimism, there are a few red flags that investors shouldn’t ignore. Circle’s net income fell sharply from $268 million in 2023 to $156 million in 2024, raising eyebrows about the company’s ability to sustain profitability. What’s more concerning is that distribution costs are rising faster than revenue. If this trend continues, Circle’s profit margins could come under real pressure.

The company’s most recent earnings, for the quarter ending March 31, 2025, show mixed signals. On the surface, things look promising—Circle reported $64.8 million in net income on $579 million in revenue, reflecting a solid 33% increase in net income year-over-year. But dig deeper, and the challenges become clear. Distribution and transaction costs during the same period shot up by 68.2%, far outpacing the 55.1% rise in revenue, most of which came from interest earned on U.S. Treasuries backing the USDC stablecoin. That kind of imbalance between income and operating expenses could be a sign of growing inefficiencies.

Cathie Wood’s involvement, while exciting, also comes with its own baggage. Her ARK Invest funds have a history of sharp ups and downs. After posting eye-popping gains in 2020, many of her flagship ETFs faced steep losses post-2021. That track record, while bold and visionary, also adds a layer of volatility that some investors may be cautious about.

Then there’s the regulatory environment. Even though the GENIUS Act has brought some clarity to the U.S. stance on stablecoins, crypto regulations are still a moving target both at home and globally. Lawmakers continue to debate how digital assets should be governed, and Circle will need to tread carefully to avoid getting caught in any crossfire.

Are Stablecoins Entering a New Era?

Circle’s debut on the public market is more than just another crypto company going public. With a higher share price, more shares offered, and a valuation of nearly $7 billion, this IPO signals that Wall Street is paying attention to stablecoins in a big way.

Cathie Wood’s $150 million investment adds fuel to that momentum. Her involvement doesn’t just bring capital – it brings credibility, especially in a space that’s still trying to win mainstream trust. Given her past bets on Tesla and Bitcoin, many will be watching closely to see if her Circle investment becomes another success story.

Dawson Blake

feelthecandlesticks.com